When the FBI raided his home in Mar-a-Lago, Trump was having a meeting thousands of miles away to study how to solve his own tax evasion. This meeting that originally made him angry, because a phone call made him even more angry.
On the other end of the phone, the lawyer, under the constant urging of Trump, reported in real time how the group of FBI broke into his mansion, pinpointed a search area and began to rummage.
Trump’s wife’s wardrobe was turned upside down, and the safe was blown up. The last 15 boxes of materials were dragged from Mar-a-Lago, and Trump closely monitored the progress of the FBI’s operations by phone during the home search.
The dog-skin plaster tax evasion scandal was temporarily shelved, and the FBI’s surprise attack became Trump’s top priority in August.
The lawyer reported on the phone that the FBI intentionally wore polo shirts and shorts, which made the home raiding operation seem less popular. Although they still carry guns in their hands.
However, this news immediately caused a sensation in the global media, because trump immediately sent a “distress” message on the social platform – “my residence was packed with a large group of FBI… They even pried open my safe.”
According to the information released by the FBI, this sudden search suspected that some documents involving state secrets were taken out of the white house without permission during Trump’s presidency.
Some of the top secret documents marked with the most sensitive intelligence of the United States may cause trump to face 30 years in prison for espionage.
You know, Trump is 76 years old already.
The action of the Secretary of justice personally approving the search warrant quickly fermented between the two parties in the United States, especially the Republican Party on the trump side, which defined the search as an undisputed “political persecution”.
Even former vice president pence, who did not deal well with trump, came forward and said: “in the history of the United States, no former president’s personal residence has ever been searched.”
Throughout the history of the United States, this kind of “liquidation” of the former president is indeed unprecedented. What is worth noting is that according to us political rules, sensitive political events cannot be investigated within three months before the midterm elections, so as to avoid the suspicion of “political persecution”.
But the FBI’s search happened to be stuck at 92 days.
Although Biden said that he did not know about the search, all clues show the party struggle behind the home theft incident.
The mid-term election in November is related to the 2024 presidential election. Trump has been advocating the slogan of “taking back the White House” in a high-profile manner for a year and a half. According to the current opinion polls, trump is still the Republican representative who has the most chance to be elected. The channel paved in front of him to return to the White House was perfectly blocked by the FBI at this moment.
In particular, Maga group, which obeyed trump, immediately realized that this was a political persecution of Trump’s re-election as president. Under the howls of these populists, the term “civil war” began to appear more and more frequently in the information flow of twitter.
A kind of gray area existing between the two parties was broken by this home theft incident. In other words, in the past American party struggles, the last decency that we tried to maintain was torn by ugly eating.
People close to trump disclosed to the US media that trump began to frantically discuss who was the mole and who was the informant, and pointed his fingers at all kinds of people.
The emergence of such keywords as liquidation, retaliation, civil war and insider has ushered the party struggle in the United States into a new era.
After the Haihu manor was ransacked, a trump fanatic who had participated in the Capitol insurrection posted on the Internet, claiming to take up a gun to retaliate against the FBI.
Then the 42 year old fanatic, carrying an AR-15 rifle, broke into the FBI office in Ohio. The two sides exchanged fire. The confrontation lasted for nearly six hours. He was killed on the spot when he was chased.
In Washington, a 29 year old man with a gun rushed to the Capitol building with his car. After the car hit a barricade, it caught fire. Then he got off and started shooting in the street. In the pursuit of Capitol Police, the man shot himself.
At the FBI headquarters, dirty bombs (radioactive bombs) were placed in front of the headquarters, and the addresses and family members of some law enforcement personnel who participated in the search of the Haihu manor also began to spread online.
The FBI’s home raiding continues to be extremely retaliated by trump fans.
The extreme behavior of fans will inevitably affect idols.
Meanwhile, in the atmosphere surrounding Trump’s persecution, Trump’s support began to soar. According to the New York Times poll, only a few weeks ago, about half of Trump’s Republican voters were ready to give up on him, but after home raiding, the situation changed.
Trump, who was “persecuted”, seems to have won the support of the overwhelming majority of people in the party.
The stability of Trump’s label of “persecution” stems from the unprecedented liquidation of the former president by American political parties; Second, there is a “double standard” in judging Trump’s violation of the Espionage Act.
Hillary Clinton of the Democratic Party also had the same problem. In the infamous “mail gate” incident that year, Hillary Clinton used her private mailbox to send and receive confidential government documents.
In Nixon’s “Watergate incident” that year, Nixon spent four years fighting for control of his presidential records and tapes. Although he ultimately lost the lawsuit, the key is that all these seesaw battles are bureaucratic affairs, which occur in the court and are resolved by lawyers through argument.
The FBI’s raid on Trump’s residence this time, according to the American presidential research expert, “has put our political culture into an emergency alarm mode, which disrupts American politics”.
There has never been a conflict between the former president and the authorities, such as “home raiding Haihu Manor”.
This unprecedented liquidation has also brought trump and the Republican Party unprecedented “stains” – family insiders.
In the quotation of Newsweek and Wall Street Journal, the FBI’s raid came from a secret informant.
In fact, prior to the FBI’s raid, the issue of confidential documents had been verified through negotiation earlier this year. A few weeks ago, Trump’s lawyers had signed documents to prove that all relevant confidential documents had been transferred from the Haihu manor.
However, the informant’s information gave the FBI full confidence to determine that there were still hidden confidential documents in Trump’s house.
In the search of law enforcement personnel, the whole process is also a set of accurate positioning, which is carried out after three rooms are delineated.
Trump is extremely sensitive to the existence of the insiders around him. He began to check the phones of employees, and his close friends also kept secretly telling trump about someone they suspected.
As early as in Trump’s term, he kept asking his assistants, “do you trust this person?” “Find the leaker”, and let them pay attention to who is leaking and who is cooperating every day.
Now, after being raided by the FBI, Trump’s suspicion of the inside has reached a suffocating level.
Trump’s former chief of staff in the White House said that although he had served trump for 15 months, he did not know that there was a safe in the Haihu manor. He said that if this mole does exist, he must be among the six or eight closest to trump.
A former trump lawyer said he would not be surprised if the mole was Trump’s son-in-law Kushner.
This Kushner, that is, the husband of the beautiful woman Ivanka. During Trump’s term of office, the couple served as senior advisers together and disappeared from public view after trump stepped down.
“We need to study the potential people who benefit from Donald’s suspected theft of documents. They are very, very few. And Kushner recently received $2 billion from the Saudi government to fund the hedge fund company he founded. Also, why hasn’t this guy heard from for months?” Trump’s niece, Mary trump, directed her suspicions at Kushner.
She said that trump and Kushner may have a mutual utilization relationship, and when their utilization relationship ends, they will break up.
Of course, the issue of the trump family’s ghosts may also be an “unwarranted” crime from beginning to end.
The biggest suspicion of Trump’s diehard fans is that those law enforcement officers who broke into the Chuanbao mansion may deliberately plant state secrets into Trump’s private property.
However, in the Republican Party, a party that upholds family values, the trump family is haunted by the spectre of “infidelity”, which is enough to “kill” trump.
Regardless of the final truth, this has already involved the pulling and trampling of the values of the two parties.
At present, the confrontation between parties is becoming white hot.
When the extreme right in the United States began to incite civil war to break out again on the Internet, mainstream Republicans also began to claim that they would retaliate and retaliate against the Democratic Party once they took power in the mid-term elections.
Trump’s lawyer even put out harsh words: “if trump is elected, the first thing he will do will be to search every house of Biden.”
Trump’s party confidants also began to threaten garland, the attorney general who provided the FBI with a search warrant. He threatened: “keep your documents and clean up your schedule.” He vowed to conduct a thorough investigation into the search of the Haihu manor after the Republican Party won the midterm election.
According to the international terms popular in the past two years, the US Republican Party will impose “reciprocal sanctions” on the Democratic Party after it takes office.
As Barbara Walter, a professor of political science at the University of California, warned: “all the signs of civil war have appeared in the United States, and the speed of their appearance is amazing.”
Moreover, this signal is being transmitted to more and more American people.
For example, the maximum number of tweets about “civil war” on twitter reached 80 per minute, which was 10 times higher than that on ordinary days.
For example, on the “Donald wins” forum, more and more people began to post to discuss, “when will the gun fight begin?” “They (FBI) will cry bitterly”.
At the moment, politicians are worried that the tacit understanding maintained in the struggle between the two parties in the past has been disintegrated in this incident. There is no bottom line in the past, and naked revenge may replace the decent political skills in the past.
This breakthrough in the bottom line and the ugly partisan struggle are also symbols of the further tearing of the United States, even in the eyes of the American media.
If we have to find a fuse for this conflict, I think it should be Trump’s announcement in 2015 that he will run for president in 2016.
At that time, the whole world felt that trump, a reality TV producer and successful real estate developer, only participated in the election for hype. Because his political experience is zero. The Republican Party has also placed its hopes on Jeb Bush from the Bush family, who is a professional politician.
However, something unexpected happened around the world. Trump won, although he was exposed by many scandals by his opponents during the election campaign.
Afterwards, someone summarized the reason why trump won the election: he interfered with the OODA cycle of his opponent.
The OODA cycle (observation, judgment, decision-making and action) originates from the classic military theory of retired US Air Force Colonel, and is even called the “Bible of air combat”. Later, he developed this military theory into a strategy to paralyze the enemy’s psychology and was widely used.
According to this theory, American professional politicians will carefully prepare their speeches and communicate with the media in advance before making public speeches, so as to be “foolproof”. At least avoid making a fool of yourself.
However, no matter how carefully professional politicians prepare, trump can always easily get higher attention with a continuous tweet.
All Trump’s political actions are creating chaos in his own way.
Since the raid on the Haihu manor, trump has spared no effort to complain about the persecution he has suffered on his voice platform. The far right has taken up arms for him, and polls show that his support rate has soared.
The atmosphere of persecution makes him a unique hero in the Republican Party. In the party, his biggest enemy Liz Cheney has just lost the primary election of the mid-term election, while other trump opponents have either lost or abstained, which further removes obstacles to trump’s competitiveness.
However, the highlight of the mid-term elections is in November. The challenge that trump really has to face should not yet come.
The Democratic Party should have a “big trick” to deal with trump, and even the Democratic Party will unite with the opponents in the Republican Party to deal with trump.
Because, in a certain sense, if trump comes to power again, it is likely to shake the “national foundation” of the United States.
On the face of it, the Democrats behind Biden and Pelosi represent the interests of American financial capital, that is, the elite of Wall Street. Trump represents the interests of relatively traditional industrial capitalists in the United States.
They only represent different capital interests.
However, the two types of capital have to reach different people. What the Wall Street elite reaps and represents is the American elite. And the “red neck” behind trump is the bottom white people in the United States.
In the past 200 years or so of American history, successive American politicians, no matter what party or what capital they represent, have tacitly safeguarded the interests of the bourgeoisie.
We will do everything possible to stop the internal contradictions in the United States in a series of “irrelevant” contradictions, such as racial contradictions, male female contradictions, LGBT contradictions, drug and gun legalization contradictions.
As a result, in the process of the United States being called the world’s largest country, Bezos and bill gates were called the world’s richest people, and the wealth of the rich rose. However, the bottom of the United States did not share the dividends brought by the expansion of the Empire.
In other words, one of the most important reasons why the United States is increasingly divided is that the contradiction between the American bourgeoisie and the “proletariat” has become the main contradiction in fact in the United States. It has become a contradiction that can hardly be covered up by other “irrelevant” contradictions.
Together, the American people who “sacrificed” in support of trump are already warning the bottom of the United States with their lives: all we have to lose is chains.
At present, the internal contradictions of the United States are at such a delicate time. The main contradictions in fact can replace the main contradictions in reputation at any time.
If professional politicians come to power, no matter which side of the political party, they will use the OODA cycle to fight for the interests of their own party and the behind capital according to the regulations.
However, trump is an alien who is good at creating chaos. No one can be sure that he will follow the rules of the game of professional politicians.
In particular, the current atmosphere has become “civil war”. In order to gain the support of American populism, no one can guarantee that trump will do anything “stupid”.
Once trump commits “stupidity”, the United States may even become a proletarian country.
Therefore, it is urgent to eliminate trump for the opponents in the Democratic Party and even the Republican Party.
It can be said that the Capitol insurrection, tax evasion, and the criminal responsibility of hiding secret documents to bind trump are all necessary ways for them to intercept their opponents.
However, even if they want to lock up trump now, I am afraid it will be difficult to control the final result.
The subtlety of American law is that the constitution sets the standard of who is qualified to serve as president, and Congress cannot change this standard according to criminal law, because the constitution will take precedence over regulations.
What is more interesting is that not all state laws will deprive prisoners of their right to vote and stand for election. That is to say, even if trump is imprisoned, he may still get the right to run for president and pardon himself after a successful election.
In 1920, a man named Eugene v. Debs ran for president while serving his sentence. He was also the first prisoner candidate in the United States.
If trump is really imprisoned, the former president who has been so politically persecuted will gain a greater aura. Not all Americans have clear political aspirations for their future president. A prisoner who is politically persecuted is enough for them to cast their lingering vote.
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